Yes Mike, I agree with your friend. I have a lilac bush just outside my kitchen window ready to, but not in bloom.I too have hunted for over 50 years but this is the first time i have ever seen such an early spring without the blacks poking their noses up! The other indicator plant is the Eastern Redbud tree, just opening up here. But there is always hope as we walk through the woods and it teaches us how important the virtue of patience is in life. Although virtues are not what I want in my pan! THEY WILL COME!